AD Plus Ultra vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
SLA
0 - 1
PUL
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1952 |
PUL
1 - 2
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
ALC
4 - 0
PUL
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
PUL
5 - 1
CAR
65%
18%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
MAL
2 - 1
PUL
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
HER
2 - 0
LEV
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
MLL
3 - 0
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
HER
3 - 2
MEL
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
HER
2 - 1
RCD
62%
19%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |