AD Plus Ultra vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
CAR
2 - 4
PUL
18%
27%
55%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
PUL
2 - 1
FEM
80%
12%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
GDE
0 - 0
PUL
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
PUL
2 - 1
UBC
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 1
PUL
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
CDT
4 - 1
ARA
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
TAL
0 - 0
CDT
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
CDT
3 - 1
ALC
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SEG
6 - 0
CDT
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 1965 |
CDT
1 - 2
UBC
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |