AD Plus Ultra vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
0 - 1
PUL
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 1
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CDS
4 - 2
PUL
42%
23%
36%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PUL
5 - 0
LEG
57%
20%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ARA
2 - 1
PUL
45%
23%
33%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUA
86%
8%
6%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
UBC
0 - 1
CDT
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
4 - 2
CDT
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDG
78%
12%
10%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
CDS
1 - 2
CDT
56%
19%
25%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |