AD Plus Ultra vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.8%
13%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
UBC
1 - 0
PUL
40%
21%
38%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
PUL
2 - 1
AVI
83%
10%
7%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
CPC
3 - 3
PUL
46%
20%
34%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
PUL
1 - 0
TOM
77%
13%
11%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ZAM
0 - 2
PUL
39%
21%
40%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
CDT
1 - 0
CFP
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SEG
3 - 2
CDT
35%
21%
44%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
CDT
3 - 1
CDB
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
MAN
2 - 2
CDT
34%
21%
45%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
CDT
5 - 1
TAL
65%
17%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |