AD Plus Ultra vs Femsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ARA
2 - 1
PUL
43%
22%
35%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PUL
4 - 1
AVI
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
GIM
2 - 2
PUL
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
PUL
2 - 0
PUE
86%
9%
5%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
CDT
2 - 1
PUL
39%
22%
39%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
FEM
7 - 0
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
MAN
5 - 2
FEM
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
FEM
3 - 0
GUA
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
CUA
3 - 2
FEM
68%
17%
16%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
FEM
3 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |