AD Plus Ultra vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
GUA
0 - 2
PUL
47%
22%
31%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PUL
6 - 2
CDS
87%
8%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
CDM
0 - 2
PUL
41%
23%
36%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
PUL
3 - 1
CUA
90%
6%
3%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
MAN
1 - 4
PUL
46%
22%
32%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
DBN
2 - 2
CPC
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
AZA
3 - 1
DBN
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
DBN
0 - 1
CDT
74%
14%
12%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ATC
2 - 1
DBN
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
DBN
3 - 2
ARA
80%
11%
8%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |