AD Picuiense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Picuiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LAG
1 - 0
ADP
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 1
ADP
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 1
POM
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
SOU
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRE
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
POT
0 - 1
SOU
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |