Peñaflor vs Villamayor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+939%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 11
PAD
47%
20%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 2
PER
22%
20%
58%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
PAD
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 1
AZA
49%
20%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 6
OLI
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villamayor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDM
47%
21%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 3
DEL
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 4
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |