Peñaflor vs Sporting Caesaraugusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 4
CAR
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAD
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAD
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 8
GAR
14%
16%
70%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
JUA
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Caesaraugusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 2
SPO
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 0
SPO
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
AVE
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |