AD Numancia vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BCO
3 - 0
NUM
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 3
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SIG
1 - 4
NUM
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 2
CAS
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DIN
1 - 1
NUM
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 0
CBA
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SGU
1 - 4
SAG
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AAL
2 - 0
SAG
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAG
5 - 1
JDO
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CFA
5 - 3
SAG
49%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |