AD Numancia vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PED
1 - 3
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
NUM
1 - 1
OMA
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
NUM
3 - 1
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
NUM
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
NUM
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
5 - 0
VAL
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
0 - 3
MAN
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
NUM
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 2
MAN
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |