AD Numancia vs CF Alovera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SCU
2 - 0
NUM
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 3
SAG
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BCO
3 - 0
NUM
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 3
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SIG
1 - 4
NUM
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Alovera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CFA
1 - 0
CBA
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SGU
0 - 2
CFA
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CFA
4 - 1
YEP
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AAL
2 - 2
CFA
26%
24%
49%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 5
CFA
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |