AD Numancia vs CD Lillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATA
2 - 1
NUM
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NUM
1 - 2
RVS
48%
22%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 0
NUM
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
NUM
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NUM
3 - 1
ESQ
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LIL
5 - 1
AEL
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TOB
3 - 0
LIL
75%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LIL
0 - 0
YEP
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LIL
0 - 2
JDO
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VSA
5 - 0
LIL
90%
7%
4%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |