AD Numancia vs Academia Albiceleste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
JDO
2 - 0
NUM
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 2
CFA
11%
16%
74%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SCU
2 - 0
NUM
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 3
SAG
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BCO
3 - 0
NUM
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Academia Albiceleste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
AAL
3 - 0
CBA
56%
23%
20%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SGU
0 - 1
AAL
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AAL
7 - 1
YEP
58%
23%
20%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
AAL
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
JDO
1 - 1
AAL
38%
23%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |