AD Nogueirense vs Valecambrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
ADN
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ADN
3 - 1
SAN
18%
22%
59%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 2
ADN
21%
23%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
0 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
3 - 1
CAN
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Valecambrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
CAN
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BUS
5 - 0
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 3
ACV
14%
23%
62%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
OLI
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |