AD Nogueirense vs Canas de Senhorim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BUS
2 - 0
ADN
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 1
ACV
20%
25%
56%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 2
ADN
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
ADN
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ADN
1 - 0
OLI
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Canas de Senhorim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
BUS
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACV
2 - 0
CAN
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
6 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
OLI
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |