Ad El Naranjo vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ad El Naranjo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDA
1 - 4
ADE
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
3 - 2
CDE
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 5
REC
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 1
ADE
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ADE
6 - 1
VLL
47%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATC
3 - 1
ALM
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VLL
2 - 2
ATC
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATC
4 - 0
LAS
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
0 - 0
ATC
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ATC
0 - 0
CER
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |