Ad Moratalla vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ad Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 2
ADM
57%
21%
22%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 3
MUL
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDL
0 - 0
ADM
72%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 2
CFC
19%
22%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
ADM
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 2
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDL
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
EFA
9 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 6
MUL
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
EDC
0 - 3
ALC
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |