Ad Moratalla vs Ad Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ad Moratalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CFS
2 - 1
ADM
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 3
LAU
10%
18%
73%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 3
CIU
14%
20%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ad Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ADG
3 - 0
UDL
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MUL
0 - 3
ADG
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ADG
1 - 4
CDL
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 3
ADG
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +2 |