AD Mérida Promesas vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+416%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SPR
0 - 2
MER
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CDV
1 - 2
MER
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MER
5 - 0
CDB
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
RHI
1 - 2
MER
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MER
3 - 1
ALA
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 1
SEG
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
SPR
77%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 2
CDV
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 2
UDF
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
RHI
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |