AD Mérida Promesas vs UP Segureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+416%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 0
MER
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MER
6 - 3
SPR
48%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 3
CDV
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
MER
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MER
4 - 1
RHI
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 2
SEG
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SEG
2 - 2
UDF
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SEG
1 - 2
CAM
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPR
0 - 0
SEG
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SEG
5 - 0
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |