Mercedarias KE vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedarias KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
IRU
2 - 2
MKE
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MKE
2 - 0
LAU
29%
24%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MKE
4 - 1
IZA
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ELP
1 - 3
MKE
53%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MKE
0 - 1
ALE
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 0
ADC
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
5 - 3
ARI
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 2
CDL
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
IKE
0 - 2
ARI
10%
17%
74%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
IRU
2 - 6
ARI
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |