Mercedarias KE vs Ariznabarra analysis

Mercedarias KE Ariznabarra
21 ELO 27
-7% Tilt -4%
12124º General ELO ranking 8649º
1747º Country ELO ranking 450º
ELO win probability
21.7%
Mercedarias KE
20.7%
Draw
57.6%
Ariznabarra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
Mercedarias KE
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.6%
Win probability
Ariznabarra
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mercedarias KE
-43%
+12%
Ariznabarra

ELO progression

Mercedarias KE
Ariznabarra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mercedarias KE
Mercedarias KE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
CDF
CDF San Martín
0 - 0
Mercedarias KE
MKE
41%
22%
37%
20 18 2 0
24 Feb. 2024
MKE
Mercedarias KE
1 - 1
Amurrio
AMU
39%
23%
38%
19 21 2 +1
17 Feb. 2024
CDS
San Ignacio B
0 - 1
Mercedarias KE
MKE
55%
21%
24%
18 22 4 +1
09 Feb. 2024
MKE
Mercedarias KE
2 - 0
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
IRU
24%
21%
55%
17 22 5 +1
04 Feb. 2024
CSV
San Viator
1 - 0
Mercedarias KE
MKE
74%
15%
11%
17 28 11 0

Matches

Ariznabarra
Ariznabarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
ARI
Ariznabarra
2 - 2
Abetxuko
ADC
85%
10%
5%
29 14 15 0
24 Feb. 2024
ARI
Ariznabarra
5 - 1
CDF San Martín
CDF
77%
13%
10%
28 18 10 +1
18 Feb. 2024
AMU
Amurrio
2 - 2
Ariznabarra
ARI
23%
23%
55%
28 21 7 0
10 Feb. 2024
ARI
Ariznabarra
1 - 1
San Ignacio B
CDS
73%
15%
12%
28 21 7 0
03 Feb. 2024
IRU
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
1 - 1
Ariznabarra
ARI
33%
23%
45%
28 22 6 0