AD Marco 09 vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+107%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
34
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 4
ODO
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
ADM
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 0
ACD
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADM
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 2
GON
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ODO
0 - 0
VSC
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VSC
2 - 1
BMA
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 0
VSC
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VSC
4 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |