AD Marco 09 vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
24
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
REB
0 - 2
ADM
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
ADM
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 1
ADM
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
ODO
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAL
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 2
VAL
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 1
VAL
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |