AD Marco 09 vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
35
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
ADM
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
ADM
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 1
FFC
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALQ
1 - 3
ADM
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
ODO
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VSC
3 - 1
SAL
19%
20%
61%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 5
SAL
8%
14%
79%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
5 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |