AD Mar Menor vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MME
3 - 1
BAL
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
HOR
1 - 2
MME
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
MME
0 - 2
ORI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
MME
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MME
4 - 1
BAL
83%
11%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIE
50%
26%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
BAL
2 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
HOR
25%
28%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ORI
4 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOR
18%
26%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |