AD Mar Menor vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
MME
24%
25%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MME
4 - 1
BAL
83%
11%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAZ
1 - 2
MME
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MME
3 - 0
CFB
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UCA
0 - 1
MME
12%
20%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ORI
4 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 2
ORI
14%
22%
64%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ORI
0 - 0
HOR
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CIE
0 - 1
ORI
11%
21%
69%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 2
ORI
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |