AD Mar Menor vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
IND
2 - 2
MME
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
MME
4 - 0
MAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PIN
0 - 3
MME
11%
19%
71%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MME
3 - 1
JUM
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 2
MME
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
YEC
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
LUM
0 - 2
LOR
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
5 - 0
CAL
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
OLI
0 - 1
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
2 - 1
UCA
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |