AD Mar Menor vs Horadada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
UCA
1 - 1
MME
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
MME
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
AGU
1 - 0
MME
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
MME
0 - 1
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
BAL
3 - 2
MME
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Horadada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
HOR
0 - 1
ORI
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
HOR
0 - 5
JUM
51%
23%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UCA
0 - 0
HOR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
HOR
1 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
AGU
1 - 1
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |