AD Mar Menor vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MOL
1 - 2
MME
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
MME
1 - 0
IMP
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
IND
1 - 2
MME
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
MME
0 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MME
2 - 1
RPA
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ALQ
0 - 4
ORI
11%
22%
67%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
HOR
0 - 0
ALQ
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
ALQ
0 - 2
UCA
31%
26%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
BAL
7 - 1
ALQ
58%
23%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALQ
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |