AD Mar Menor vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MUL
0 - 2
MME
13%
25%
62%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
MME
1 - 1
ORI
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CIE
1 - 2
MME
23%
28%
49%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 2
MME
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MME
4 - 0
AFC
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ALQ
1 - 1
CAR
37%
28%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALQ
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ALQ
1 - 1
LOR
33%
27%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
JUM
1 - 0
ALQ
59%
23%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ALQ
2 - 0
IMP
25%
29%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |