Mancha Real AD vs Santo Tome Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JOD
2 - 0
ADM
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ADM
0 - 4
TOR
17%
20%
64%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAI
0 - 1
ADM
55%
22%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ADM
1 - 2
CPH
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Santo Tome Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
TOR
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CPH
3 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
LAG
51%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 2
SAN
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 3
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |