Mancha Real AD vs Racing Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
5 - 1
ADM
52%
23%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 3
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDB
2 - 0
ADM
80%
14%
7%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ADM
0 - 1
CDU
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 1
CFS
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
5 - 1
CDH
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LAG
0 - 0
RAC
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
CLO
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
RAC
29%
24%
48%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |