Mancha Real AD vs Racing Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LAG
3 - 1
ADM
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ADM
1 - 2
CDH
65%
20%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 0
ADM
34%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ADM
4 - 0
CDR
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CDU
1 - 2
ADM
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
FSV
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
JOD
1 - 5
RAC
20%
23%
58%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 0
CDV
50%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RAC
4 - 0
LAG
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CDH
2 - 7
RAC
37%
25%
39%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |