Mancha Real AD vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CFS
3 - 2
ADM
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 0
CDV
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CDV
2 - 0
ADM
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CDH
3 - 4
ADM
51%
22%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ADM
0 - 2
LAG
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LAG
0 - 3
CDB
29%
24%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CLO
1 - 3
CDB
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CDB
4 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDB
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CDB
2 - 3
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |