Mancha Real AD vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 2
ADM
35%
25%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ADM
2 - 0
VDJ
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAV
4 - 2
ADM
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ADM
2 - 3
CAZ
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BAE
0 - 0
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEG
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 4
ATL
67%
17%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 3
ATL
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HUE
1 - 1
ATL
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
CDT
26%
21%
54%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |