Mancha Real AD vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
ADM
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ADM
1 - 5
CLO
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAI
3 - 1
ADM
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ADM
0 - 3
CDV
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ADM
3 - 3
FSV
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
FSV
27%
25%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
JOD
2 - 1
ATL
21%
27%
52%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
RAC
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LAG
0 - 3
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
CDH
53%
24%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |