AD Llerenense vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ADL
1 - 2
CDB
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
USA
2 - 1
ADL
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ADL
4 - 1
CAM
47%
25%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 1
ADL
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ADL
1 - 0
ALM
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ZAL
1 - 0
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 1
CDS
20%
24%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
UDF
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDB
3 - 2
UDF
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UDF
2 - 0
USA
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |