AD Llerenense vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 3
ADL
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ADL
2 - 1
OLY
49%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ADL
1 - 2
UCL
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 0
ADL
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ADL
2 - 0
ZAL
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 0
SPR
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZAL
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
4 - 1
CPR
77%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
UDF
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 2
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |