AD Llerenense vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
ADL
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ADL
3 - 1
MON
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
EMD
1 - 2
ADL
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ADL
3 - 1
GIM
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CPR
4 - 3
ADL
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 2
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UDF
0 - 1
VAL
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
UDF
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UDF
2 - 1
EMD
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 3
UDF
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |