AD Llerenense vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
MON
2 - 2
ADL
16%
25%
58%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
ADL
1 - 0
BAD
38%
27%
35%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1993 |
BUR
1 - 0
ADL
58%
24%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
MCB
5 - 2
ADL
61%
23%
16%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
ADL
2 - 1
CDS
44%
27%
30%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1993 |
UDF
0 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
VAL
0 - 0
UDF
24%
27%
49%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1993 |
UDF
1 - 2
FCE
19%
25%
56%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
UDF
0 - 2
MOR
20%
26%
54%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
UCL
2 - 2
UDF
39%
28%
34%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |