AD Llerenense vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADL
42%
27%
31%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
ADL
1 - 3
CDB
29%
28%
43%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
MON
2 - 0
ADL
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ADL
6 - 1
TAL
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
CDM
2 - 1
ADL
25%
27%
48%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1993 |
UDF
1 - 2
JER
23%
27%
50%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
UDF
5 - 1
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
CDB
1 - 0
UDF
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
UDF
3 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
TAL
0 - 0
UDF
21%
26%
54%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |