AD Llerenense vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
10º
1º
53
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 2
ADL
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
5 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADL
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
3 - 0
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 3
ADL
32%
25%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
UCL
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 3
OLI
16%
22%
63%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 0
OLI
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |