AD Llerenense vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CPC
1 - 0
ADL
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JER
2 - 0
ADL
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 0
VAL
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
ADL
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 3
DBN
13%
23%
65%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CDD
4 - 2
UDF
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CPC
2 - 3
CDD
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDD
3 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 3
CDD
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CDD
0 - 1
COR
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |