Jequié vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jequié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JEQ
0 - 1
ITA
11%
16%
72%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
JEQ
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
JEQ
2 - 0
FEI
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ABP
1 - 2
JEQ
22%
21%
58%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
JEQ
14%
17%
69%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 7
JEC
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
JUA
5 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 2
FEI
15%
18%
68%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 2
GRA
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
JEQ
17%
19%
65%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |