Jaguar vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+599%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
ADJ
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 2
FEC
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
AEB
0 - 1
ADJ
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
ADJ
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ADJ
1 - 0
TFC
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
ADJ
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
VCR
1 - 0
AEB
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FEC
1 - 2
VCR
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
VCR
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
VCR
0 - 1
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |