Jaguar vs Timbaúba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IFC
5 - 0
ADJ
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ADJ
0 - 1
FEC
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VCR
0 - 0
ADJ
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -18 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
0 - 0
VCR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
2 - 3
ADJ
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TFC
0 - 3
CAB
73%
18%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
3 - 0
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LIM
0 - 0
TFC
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
IFC
0 - 1
TFC
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |