Jaguar vs Timbaúba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+599%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
1 - 0
ADJ
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 1
ARA
25%
23%
53%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 1
ADJ
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ADJ
1 - 3
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
4 - 0
ADJ
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
AME
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
TFC
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
TFC
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VCR
1 - 3
TFC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
3 - 1
AFC
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |