Jaguar vs Íbis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+599%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 3
BEL
25%
23%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FEC
2 - 5
ADJ
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
ADJ
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ADJ
2 - 2
ARA
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ADJ
5 - 2
FEC
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Íbis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
ISC
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ISC
1 - 4
BEL
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 1
AFC
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
ISC
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISC
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |